Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Other · 5 markets
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$2K
Resolves31d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first5 questions
Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in October 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during October 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.