Politics · Ends Dec 31

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

The market gives “Yes” a 3% chance (up 0.1 points in 24 hours).

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

3%chance of Yes, according to the market

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 3% → if it happens you get $322.58 (+$312.58). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$165K traded since it opened · $673 today