All predictions

Politics · Ends Mar 2028

Who will win the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize?

Each person or group is its own question, and it is Yes if they are awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, including as a joint winner.

On Polymarket as “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027”

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

Committee to Protect Journalists
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
Donald Trump
Yulia Navalnaya▲ 2 today
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Jimmy Lai
Melania Trump▲ 2 today
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
Julian Assange▲ 2 today
UNRWA▲ 1 today
Pope Leo XIV
António Guterres
Doctors Without Borders
International Court of Justice
Elon Musk
Greta Thunberg
International Criminal Court

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “Committee to Protect Journalists” at 10% → if it happens you get $105.26 (+$95.26). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

The Norwegian Nobel Committee's first official announcement settles it; if none is made by Mar 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, all resolve No.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

$182K traded since it opened · $8K today

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