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Other · 20 markets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Vol total$23.5M
Vol 24h$19K
Liquidity$2.4M
Resolves52d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇺🇸
Donald Trump
$4.4M vol·-0%·7d
2.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
UNRWA
$2.0M vol·+0%·7d
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
International Court of Justice
$905K vol·+0%·7d
2.6%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇻🇦
Pope Leo XIV
$814K vol·-0%·7d
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇦
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$792K vol·-1%·7d
4.8%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
$786K vol·-0%·7d
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Yulia Navalnaya
$291K vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🎯
Greta Thunberg
$1.5M vol·+0%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇨🇳
Xi Jinping
$1.4M vol·-0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$1.3M vol·+0%·7d
1.3%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Charlie Kirk
$1.2M vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇺🇸
Elon Musk
$1.2M vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇸🇦
Mohammed bin Salman
$1.2M vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
$1.1M vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇷🇺
Vladimir Putin
$905K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Khaled Mashal
$867K vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇦🇺
Julian Assange
$851K vol·-0%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇮🇱
Benjamin Netanyahu
$693K vol·+0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Narendra Modi
$686K vol
1.3%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
António Guterres
$628K vol·-0%·7d
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.