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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Vol total$25.7M
Vol 24h$157K
Liquidity$1.8M
Resolves180d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first32 questions

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.

Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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