All predictions
Politics · Ends Nov 3
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer is the favorite at 52% (up 5.0 points in 24 hours), then John Thune at 25% and Brian Schatz at 8%.
What do you think happens?
Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.
Chuck Schumer▲ 5 today
John Thune
Brian Schatz
Tom Cotton
Chris Van Hollen
Patty Murray
Cory Booker
Steve Daines
Show 3 more under 1%Hide the ones under 1%
John Barrasso
Mark Kelly
Amy Klobuchar
Your money, explained
Put $10 on “Chuck Schumer” at 52% → if it happens you get $19.42 (+$9.42). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.
How it's decided
It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Nov 3, 2026, US Eastern time.
Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
$173K traded since it opened · $736 today