Politics · Ends Nov 7

Who will be New Zealand's next Prime Minister after the 2026 election?

New Zealand holds a general election on Nov 7, 2026, and the person officially appointed Prime Minister afterward is the winner.

On Polymarket as “Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?”

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

Christopher Luxon▲ 7 today

Chris Hipkins▼ 4 today

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Carmel Sepuloni

Nicola Willis

David Seymour

Winston Peters

Chlöe Swarbrick

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “Christopher Luxon” at 60% → if it happens you get $16.81 (+$6.81). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

The Government of New Zealand's official information settles it, once the Governor-General appoints the Prime Minister, by Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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