Politics · 7 markets

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Vol total$27K

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$179K

Resolves77d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Chris Hipkins

$9K vol·-1%·7d

50.5%

chance

Yes 51¢ · No 50¢

🎯

Christopher Luxon

$8K vol·+12%·7d

44.5%

chance

Yes 45¢ · No 56¢

🎯

Nicola Willis

$4K vol·-0%·7d

2.8%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Winston Peters

$2K vol·+0%·7d

1.4%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

🎯

Carmel Sepuloni

$1K vol·-1%·7d

0.3%

chance

Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

🎯

Chlöe Swarbrick

$1K vol·-1%·7d

0.4%

chance

Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

🎯

David Seymour

$1K vol·-0%·7d

0.5%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.