All events
Politics · 8 markets

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$166
Liquidity$22K
Resolves19d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Andris Kulbergs
$2K vol
72.0%
chance
Yes 72¢ · No 28¢
🎯
Ainārs Šlesers
$281 vol
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Jūlija Stepaņenko
$250 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Andris Šuvajevs
$152 vol
3.3%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Viktors Valainis
$131 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
Ilze Indriksone
$107 vol
3.2%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Arvils Ašeradens
$106 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Svetlana Čulkova
$146 vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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