Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first7 questions
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.