All predictions

Tech & AI · Ends Nov 30

When will OpenAI release its next GPT Terra model, version 5.7 or higher?

Each date is its own question, and it is Yes if OpenAI makes a GPT Terra model of version 5.7 or higher public by then.

On Polymarket as “Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?”

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

By Nov 30▲ 2 today
By Oct 30▲ 12 today
By Oct 31▲ 9 today
By Oct 29▲ 2 today
By Oct 28▼ 3 today
By Oct 27
By Oct 26▼ 10 today

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “By Nov 30” at 85% → if it happens you get $11.79 (+$1.79). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

Official information from OpenAI settles it, checked against credible reporting, using Eastern Time dates up to each deadline.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

$107K traded since it opened · $12K today

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.