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Tech & AI · 32 markets

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

Vol total$787
Vol 24h$787
Liquidity$9K
Resolves39d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first32 questions

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 31, 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 31, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 9, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 15, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 15, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 24, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 24, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 27, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 27, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 22, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 2, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 2, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 5, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 13, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 30, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 6, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 7, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 7, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 8, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 8, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 14, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 19, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 19, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 26, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 26, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 29, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 29, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 17, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 20, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 20, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 21, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 25, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 25, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 28, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 28, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 3, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 3, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 11, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 11, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 18, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 18, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 16, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 16, 2026.

Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 31, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 4, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 10, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 12, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 12, 2026.

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 23, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 23, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.