All events
Politics · 7 markets

Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?

Vol total$713
Vol 24h$679
Liquidity$10K
Resolves91d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Babalwa Lobishe
$376 vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🎯
Retief Odendaal
$82 vol
34.5%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 66¢
🎯
Andile Lungisa
$61 vol
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
🎯
Wandisile Jikeka
$60 vol
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🎯
Bulelwa Mafaya
$60 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🎯
Sinawo Thambo
$54 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
Siva Pillay
$20 vol
31.5%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 69¢

Resolution rules

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.