All predictions

Politics · Ends Jun 30
When will Israel's next government be sworn in?
Each date is its own question: Yes if a new Israeli government, formed after the 2026 or a later election, is sworn in by that date.
On Polymarket as “Next Israeli government formed by...?”
What do you think happens?
Each line is its own yes-or-no question.
By June 30, 2027▲ 8 today
By Feb 28, 2027▲ 11 today
By Dec 31, 2026▼ 3 today
By Nov 30, 2026▼ 3 today
Your money, explained
Put $10 on “By June 30, 2027” at 75% → if it happens you get $13.33 (+$3.33). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.
How it's decided
Official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset, with credible reporting also possible, decides by 11:59 PM ET on each date. Source ↗
Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe.
Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
$101K traded since it opened · $13K today
