All events
Tech & AI · 23 markets

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Vol total$426
Vol 24h$426
Liquidity$4K
Resolves26d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
September 12
$317 vol
11.4%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🎯
September 13
$55 vol
13.4%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🎯
On or prior to September 9
$33 vol
40.1%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 60¢
🎯
September 15
$21 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
September 10
$0 vol
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🎯
September 11
$0 vol
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🎯
September 14
$0 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
September 16
$0 vol
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
🎯
September 17
$0 vol
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
🎯
September 18
$0 vol
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🎯
September 19
$0 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
September 20
$0 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
September 21
$0 vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🎯
September 22
$0 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
September 23
$0 vol
28.0%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🎯
September 24
$0 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
September 25
$0 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
September 26
$0 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
September 27
$0 vol
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🎯
September 28
$0 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
September 29
$0 vol
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🍂
September 30
$0 vol
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🎯
No release by September 30
$0 vol
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.