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Tech & AI · 23 markets

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$4K
Resolves22d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first23 questions

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 25, 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 26, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on or prior to September 24, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 25, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 27, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will there be no next Claude Sonnet model release by October 15, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 16, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 26, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 27, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 10, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 11, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 4, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 3, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 30, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 6, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 7, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 7, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 8, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 11, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 12, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 5, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 8, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 9, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 12, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 14, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 15, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 2, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 3, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 13, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 14, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 2, 2026.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 15, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 16, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.