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Politics · 6 markets

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Vol total$49K
Vol 24h$378
Liquidity$33K
Resolves301d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions

Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Aug 1, 2027.

Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Aug 1, 2027.

Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Aug 1, 2027.

Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Aug 1, 2027.

Will Alex Allinson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Aug 1, 2027.

Will Lawrie Hooper be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Aug 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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