Politics · 6 markets

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Vol total$37K

Vol 24h$3K

Liquidity$12K

Resolves37d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Alfred Cannan

$19K vol·+5%·7d

37.0%

chance

Yes 37¢ · No 63¢

🎯

Chris Thomas

$6K vol·-3%·7d

18.5%

chance

Yes 19¢ · No 82¢

🎯

Jane Poole-Wilson

$4K vol·-1%·7d

13.0%

chance

Yes 13¢ · No 87¢

🎯

Rob Callister

$4K vol·-0%·7d

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

Lawrie Hooper

$3K vol·+1%·7d

6.0%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

🎯

Alex Allinson

$396 vol·-5%·7d

1.6%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.