Politics · Ends Dec 2027

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

No Next Chancellor before 2028 is the favorite at 68% (up 2.0 points in 24 hours), then Hendrik Wüst at 14% and Markus Söder at 7%.

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

No Next Chancellor before 2028▲ 2 today

Hendrik Wüst

Markus Söder

Alice Weidel

Boris Pistorius

Show 8 more under 1%

Lars Klingbeil

Felix Banaszak

Carsten Linnemann

Heidi Reichinnek

Sahra Wagenknecht

Katharina Dröge

Tino Chrupalla

Jens Spahn

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “No Next Chancellor before 2028” at 68% → if it happens you get $14.81 (+$4.81). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Dec 31, 2029, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$134K traded since it opened · $60 today