All events
Politics · 6 markets

New Zealand Election: Turnout

Vol total$21K
Vol 24h$400
Liquidity$28K
Resolves54d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
78-80%
$8K vol
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🎯
80-82%
$5K vol
23.8%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🎯
76-78%
$4K vol·+1%·7d
31.5%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 69¢
🎯
<76%
$1K vol·-0%·7d
4.7%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
84%+
$818 vol·-0%·7d
3.8%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
82-84%
$1K vol·-0%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.