Politics · Ends Dec 31

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?

Most likely: December 31 at 6% (down 4.0 points in 24 hours).

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

6%chance of Yes, according to the market▼ 4 today

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 6% → if it happens you get $166.67 (+$156.67). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

$377K traded since it opened · $683 today