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Politics · 6 markets

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Vol total$106K
Vol 24h$760
Liquidity$220K
Resolves245d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions

Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jun 7, 2027.

Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jun 7, 2027.

Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jun 7, 2027.

Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jun 7, 2027.

Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jun 7, 2027.

Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jun 7, 2027.

Resolution rules

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

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