Economy · 8 markets

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Vol total$13K

Vol 24h$341

Liquidity$4K

Resolves72d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

2.0-2.5%

$7K vol·-7%·7d

17.5%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 83¢

🎯

1.5-2.0%

$2K vol

33.5%

chance

Yes 34¢ · No 67¢

🎯

1.0-1.5%

$2K vol·+4%·7d

35.0%

chance

Yes 35¢ · No 65¢

🎯

2.5-3.0%

$386 vol·+4%·7d

12.5%

chance

Yes 13¢ · No 88¢

🎯

<0.5%

$265 vol·+1%·7d

4.3%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

3.0-3.5%

$248 vol·+1%·7d

4.1%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

0.5-1.0%

$193 vol·+2%·7d

5.2%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

3.5%+

$203 vol·-2%·7d

1.1%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.