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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 15?

Vol total$500
Vol 24h$470
Liquidity$33K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

❄️
16°C or below
$10 vol
44.5%
chance
Yes 45¢ · No 56¢
🌤️
17°C
$10 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🌤️
18°C
$10 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🌡️
19°C
$10 vol
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🌡️
20°C
$2 vol
38.5%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 62¢
🌡️
22°C
$2 vol
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🌡️
21°C
$0 vol
37.5%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 63¢
🌡️
23°C
$0 vol
37.5%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 63¢
🌡️
24°C
$244 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
26°C or higher
$192 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
25°C
$20 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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