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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 4?

Vol total$218
Vol 24h$210
Liquidity$17K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

❄️
21°C or below
$8 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🌡️
24°C
$8 vol
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🌡️
22°C
$2 vol
44.0%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🌡️
23°C
$0 vol
39.5%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 61¢
🌡️
25°C
$0 vol
46.5%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 54¢
🌡️
26°C
$0 vol
47.0%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
🌡️
27°C
$40 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
28°C
$40 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
29°C
$40 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
30°C
$40 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔥
31°C or higher
$40 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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