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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$11K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
25°C
$2K vol
34.5%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 66¢
🌡️
26°C
$301 vol
38.0%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 62¢
🌡️
23°C
$178 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🌡️
24°C
$21 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🌡️
22°C
$0 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
27°C
$0 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
20°C or below
$875 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
21°C
$0 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
28°C
$0 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
29°C
$0 vol
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
30°C or higher
$0 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.