All events
Crypto · 7 markets

Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Vol total$23K
Vol 24h$944
Liquidity$3K
Resolves484d

Outcomes · most likely first

💰
$1B
$9K vol·-6%·7d
16.1%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
💰
$2B
$5K vol·-14%·7d
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🎯
$5B
$4K vol·-2%·7d
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
$3B
$2K vol·+1%·7d
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
$4B
$2K vol·-4%·7d
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
$7B
$677 vol·+0%·7d
15.4%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
$6B
$481 vol·-2%·7d
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.