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Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Vol total$359K
Vol 24h$386
Liquidity$21K
Resolves7d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first2 questions

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Lecornu out as French PM by October 31, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.

Resolution rules

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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