All events
Other · 3 markets

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Vol total$343K
Vol 24h$186
Liquidity$22K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
December 31, 2026
$12K vol·-1%·7d
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🎯
September 30, 2026
$7K vol·-0%·7d
2.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
August 31, 2026
$3K vol·-0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.