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Politics · 9 markets

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Vol total$280K
Vol 24h$588
Liquidity$343K
Resolves1d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first9 questions

Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?decided · Yes

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Will Stabilitātei! (ST!) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).

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