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Politics · 4 markets

Latvia Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?

Vol total$972
Vol 24h$972
Liquidity$1K
Resolves11d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first4 questions

Will the National Alliance (NA) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 3, 2026.

Will the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 3, 2026.

Will the Rising Sun for Latvia (ASL) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 3, 2026.

Will the For Stability! (ST!) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 3, 2026.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Latvian Saeima as a result of the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centrālā vēlēšanu komisija, CVK) (https://www.cvk.lv/).

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