December 31?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Politics · 3 markets
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
Vol total$1.4M
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$51K
Resolves0d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first3 questions
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by March 31?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.