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Politics · 6 markets

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$339
Liquidity$1K
Resolves30d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions

🎯Will Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 30, 2026.

🎯Will Yashar win 20-22% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 30, 2026.

🎯Will Yashar win 24% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 27, 2026.

🎯Will Yashar win 22-24% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 30, 2026.

🎯Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 30, 2026.

🎯Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 30, 2026.

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).

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