←All events
Politics · 5 markets

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Vol total$295K
Vol 24h$6K
Liquidity$244K
Resolves25d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first5 questions

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 28, 2026.

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 28, 2026.

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 28, 2026.

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 28, 2026.

Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 28, 2026.

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.