All events
Politics · 5 markets

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$448
Liquidity$5K
Resolves39d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
<0.75%
$624 vol·+16%·7d
54.5%
chance
Yes 55¢ · No 46¢
🎯
0.75-1.25%
$529 vol·+20%·7d
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🎯
3.25%+
$304 vol·-1%·7d
5.7%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
1.25-2%
$35 vol·-3%·7d
18.0%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 82¢
🎯
2-3.25%
$35 vol·-10%·7d
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).

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