Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions
🎯Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
🎯Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
🎯Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
🎯Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
🎯Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
🎯Will there be exactly 9 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).