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Tech & AI · 9 markets

How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?

Vol total$432
Vol 24h$437
Liquidity$7K
Resolves4d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first9 questions

450k to 475k?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

500k to 525k?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

525k to 550k?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

475k to 500k?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

550k+?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

400k to 425k?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

425k to 450k?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

<375k?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

375k to 400k?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.