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Politics · 7 markets

How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$3K
Resolves19d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
<45
$273 vol
55.0%
chance
Yes 55¢ · No 45¢
🎯
95+
$229 vol
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🎯
85–94
$177 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
65–74
$158 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
45–54
$156 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
55–64
$137 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🎯
75–84
$117 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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