Politics · 7 markets

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

Vol total$1K

Vol 24h$1K

Liquidity$12K

Resolves19d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

85+

$367 vol

4.0%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

35–44

$274 vol

9.5%

chance

Yes 10¢ · No 91¢

🎯

<35

$188 vol

74.0%

chance

Yes 74¢ · No 26¢

🎯

75–84

$163 vol

5.0%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

65–74

$102 vol

7.0%

chance

Yes 7¢ · No 93¢

🎯

55–64

$67 vol

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 96¢

🎯

45–54

$40 vol

7.0%

chance

Yes 7¢ · No 93¢

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.