🎯Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 27, 2026.
Politics · 6 markets
How many Israeli elections before government formed?
Vol total$57K
Vol 24h$842
Liquidity$74K
Resolves23d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions
🎯Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 27, 2026.
🎯Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 27, 2026.
🎯Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 27, 2026.
🎯Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 27, 2026.
🎯Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 27, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.