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Climate · 7 markets

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$5K
Resolves6d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first7 questions

Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data. If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.