Economy · 9 markets

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?

Vol total$485

Vol 24h$485

Liquidity$255

Resolves26d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Below 4.52%

$374 vol

63.0%

chance

Yes 63¢ · No 37¢

🎯

Below 4.49%

$64 vol

61.5%

chance

Yes 62¢ · No 39¢

🎯

Below 4.20%

$46 vol

37.5%

chance

Yes 38¢ · No 63¢

🎯

Below 4.27%

$0 vol

49.5%

chance

Yes 50¢ · No 51¢

🎯

Below 4.32%

$0 vol

50.5%

chance

Yes 51¢ · No 50¢

🎯

Below 4.37%

$0 vol

49.5%

chance

Yes 50¢ · No 51¢

🎯

Below 4.40%

$0 vol

50.5%

chance

Yes 51¢ · No 50¢

🎯

Below 4.43%

$0 vol

50.0%

chance

Yes 50¢ · No 50¢

🎯

Below 4.46%

$0 vol

50.5%

chance

Yes 51¢ · No 50¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).