🎯Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Economy · 9 markets
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?
Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$3K
Resolves30d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first9 questions
🎯Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.92% in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.86% in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
🎯Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.89% in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).