Economy · 6 markets

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Vol total$12K

Vol 24h$5K

Liquidity$2K

Resolves108d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

5.00%

$3K vol·+41%·7d

72.0%

chance

Yes 72¢ · No 28¢

🎯

5.10%

$2K vol·+36%·7d

58.5%

chance

Yes 59¢ · No 42¢

🎯

5.25%

$1K vol·+44%·7d

60.5%

chance

Yes 61¢ · No 40¢

🎯

4.85%

$234 vol·+40%·7d

91.0%

chance

Yes 91¢ · No 9¢

🎯

4.95%

$221 vol·+45%·7d

84.5%

chance

Yes 85¢ · No 16¢

🎯

4.90%

$201 vol·+43%·7d

85.5%

chance

Yes 86¢ · No 14¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).