Economy · 6 markets

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?

Vol total$19K

Vol 24h$3K

Liquidity$4K

Resolves16d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

5.55%

$4K vol·-8%·7d

6.9%

chance

Yes 7¢ · No 93¢

🎯

5.50%

$3K vol·-6%·7d

11.0%

chance

Yes 11¢ · No 89¢

🎯

5.60%

$3K vol·-8%·7d

4.7%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

5.39%

$1K vol·+28%·7d

65.0%

chance

Yes 65¢ · No 35¢

🎯

5.45%

$678 vol·+6%·7d

28.0%

chance

Yes 28¢ · No 72¢

🎯

5.42%

$308 vol·+25%·7d

53.5%

chance

Yes 54¢ · No 47¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).