Politics · 7 markets

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

Vol total$11K

Vol 24h$280

Liquidity$61K

Resolves42d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

John Kelly

$5K vol·+3%·7d

40.5%

chance

Yes 41¢ · No 60¢

🎯

Ryan Posselt

$2K vol·-11%·7d

14.5%

chance

Yes 14¢ · No 86¢

🎯

Bill Harvey

$2K vol·-6%·7d

3.5%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Louise Bloomfield

$1K vol·+8%·7d

22.5%

chance

Yes 23¢ · No 78¢

🎯

Marti Zucco

$314 vol·-1%·7d

9.0%

chance

Yes 9¢ · No 91¢

🎯

Mike Dutta

$1K vol·-0%·7d

1.6%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

Harvey Lennon

$291 vol

0.4%

chance

Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).