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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Munich on September 15?

Vol total$15K
Vol 24h$14K
Liquidity$33K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
25°C
$3K vol
68.5%
chance
Yes 69¢ · No 32¢
🌡️
26°C
$3K vol
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🌡️
24°C
$2K vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🌡️
23°C
$1K vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
❄️
19°C or below
$2K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
20°C
$1K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
27°C
$847 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
29°C or higher
$834 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
28°C
$500 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
22°C
$382 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
21°C
$330 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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