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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?

Vol total$10K
Vol 24h$10K
Liquidity$61K
Resolves2d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first11 questions

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 24?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 24?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on September 24?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 24?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 24?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 24?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on September 24?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 24?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 24?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 24, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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