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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in London on September 20?

Vol total$12K
Vol 24h$12K
Liquidity$59K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
20°C
$4K vol
57.0%
chance
Yes 57¢ · No 43¢
🌡️
19°C
$3K vol
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🌡️
21°C
$3K vol
18.0%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 82¢
🌡️
22°C
$617 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🌤️
18°C
$411 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
❄️
16°C or below
$577 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
23°C
$465 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌤️
17°C
$292 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
26°C or higher
$261 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
24°C
$185 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
25°C
$140 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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