All events
Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?

Vol total$13K
Vol 24h$13K
Liquidity$38K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
27°C
$541 vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🌡️
28°C
$395 vol
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
26°C
$270 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🌡️
30°C
$222 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🌡️
29°C
$217 vol
30.5%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 70¢
🌡️
32°C
$144 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
31°C
$68 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
❄️
23°C or below
$11K vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔥
33°C or higher
$201 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
25°C
$143 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
24°C
$10 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.