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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Chicago on September 15?

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$6K
Liquidity$43K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
80-81°F
$1K vol
30.0%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 70¢
🌡️
78-79°F
$986 vol
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🌡️
84-85°F
$699 vol
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🌡️
82-83°F
$582 vol
27.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 73¢
🌤️
76-77°F
$520 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
❄️
71°F or below
$388 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
90°F or higher
$360 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌤️
72-73°F
$316 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
86-87°F
$286 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
☀️
74-75°F
$221 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
88-89°F
$137 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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