Tech & AI · 5 markets

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Vol total$986K

Vol 24h$31K

Liquidity$30K

Resolves59d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first5 questions

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 16, 2026.

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Dec 1, 2026.

Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 11, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.