All events
Politics · 6 markets

French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

Vol total$4K
Vol 24h$358
Liquidity$13K
Resolves26d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇫🇷
Raphaël Glucksmann
$2K vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🇫🇷
Ségolène Royal
$967 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇫🇷
Olivier Faure
$794 vol
59.5%
chance
Yes 60¢ · No 41¢
🎯
Emmanuel Maurel
$212 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇫🇷
Jérôme Guedj
$208 vol
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🎯
Philippe Brun
$69 vol
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢

Resolution rules

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.

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