Politics · Ends Apr 18

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen is the favorite at 85% (down 1.0 points in 24 hours), then Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 10% and Édouard Philippe at 3%.

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

Marine Le Pen▼ 1 today

Jean-Luc Mélenchon▲ 3 today

Édouard Philippe

Jordan Bardella▼ 2 today

Christine Lagarde▼ 1 today

David Lisnard

Show 10 more under 1%

François Hollande

Raphaël Glucksmann

Bruno Retailleau

Sébastien Lecornu

Gabriel Attal

Dominique de Villepin

François Ruffin

Sarah Knafo

Éric Zemmour

Marine Tondelier

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “Marine Le Pen” at 85% → if it happens you get $11.76 (+$1.76). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Apr 18, 2027, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

$101K traded since it opened · $4K today